Current CO2 concentration in the atmosphere

The coral is dying, the Great Lakes are heating up

Speaking of those natural indicators of climate change I mentioned in my review of Henry Pollack’s A World Without Ice, we have two more examples:

Coral reefs suffer mass bleaching:

High ocean temperatures this year are being blamed for the bleaching, which experts fear could be worse than a similar event in 1998 which saw an estimated 16 per cent of the world’s reefs being destroyed.

Dr Mark Eakin, coordinator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Coral Reef Watch, said: “The bleaching is very strong throughout south east Asia and the central Indian Ocean.

“The reports are that it is the worst since 1997/1998. This is a really huge event and we are going to see a lot of corals dying.”

Coral reefs provide refuge and food to nearly a quarter of all marine species, making them among the most biologically diverse habitats on the planet. Bleaching can also rob fish and other species of important shelter and food sources.

Although reefs can often recover from bleaching, it leaves the coral vulnerable to damage from storms, infections and other environmental stress, increasing the risk of deaths.

Coral reef monitoring teams have reported mass bleaching of coral reefs off the coast of Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam, Cambodia and Indonesia while the Maldives, Sri Lanka and reefs off the coast of east Africa have also been hit.

With ocean temperatures reaching record levels and combined with the end of an El Nino episode, scientists fear there could be even more damage to corals as the year continues.

Scientists in Thailand have reported reefs suffering 90% of their corals being bleached and up to 20% of the corals dead.

Olivia Durkin, who is leading the bleaching monitoring at the Centre for Biodiversity in Peninsular Thailand, said: “This year’s severe coral bleaching has the potential to be the worst on record.

“Extensive bleaching, death and disease are reported not only in corals, but giant clams, sea anemones and soft corals are also losing their symbiotic algae.”

Research published on Friday in the journal Science showed that coral growth in the Red Sea has declined by a third over the past 12 years due to rising temperatures and warned that coral there would cease growing entirely by 2070 if warming continues.

Volunteers in Cambodia say this year they have seen bleaching of 90% to 100% of the shallow water reefs around the country’s coast Koh Rong and Koh rong Semleon Islands after water temperatures rose by 3 degrees.

Half of the reefs off Weh, in Indonesia have seen 80% of their corals bleached.


Lake Superior, a Huge Natural Climate Change Gauge, Is Running a Fever (emphasis added):

As the world’s largest freshwater system warms, it is poised to systematically alter life for local wildlife and the tribes that depend on it, according to regional experts. And the warming could also provide a glimpse of what is happening on a more global level, they say.

“The Great Lakes in a lot of ways have always been a canary in the coal mine,” Cameron Davis, the senior adviser to the U.S. EPA on the Great Lakes, said last week. “Not just for the region or this country, but for the rest of the world.”

And it seems the canary’s song is growing ever more halting.

Lake Superior, which is the largest, deepest and coldest of the five lakes, is serving as the “canary for the canary,” Davis said at a public meeting of the Interagency Climate Change Adaptation Task Force last week, pointing to recent data trends.

Total ice cover on the lake has shrunk by about 20 percent over the past 37 years, he said. Though the change has made for longer, warmer summers, it’s a problem because ice is crucial for keeping water from evaporating and it regulates the natural cycles of the Great Lakes.

But the warming shows no sign of abatement. This year, the waters in Lake Superior are on track to reach — and potentially exceed — the lake’s record-high temperatures of 68 degrees Fahrenheit, which occurred in 1998.

Analysis of several buoys that measure temperatures in the lake reveal that the waters are some 15 degrees warmer than they would normally be at this time of year, Jay Austin, a professor of physics at the University of Minnesota, Duluth’s Large Lakes Observatory, said in a recent interview.

His analysis of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data indicates that summer for the lake, which happens at about a 40-degree threshold, came about a month early this year.


4 comments to The coral is dying, the Great Lakes are heating up

  • Mark Shapiro

    What is the temperature trend (and ice cover trend) of Hudson’s Bay? Is the trend the same there?

  • Lou

    I don’t know what the temp. situation is on Hudson Bay, but you can find the current ice coverage on this page:

    http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/recent365.anom.region.13.html

    You can click around on the map on that page to see other portions of the Arctic, or you can use my graphs page (http://www.grinzo.com/energy/graphs.html), which has all 14 areas beginning with the “Arctic basin ice” entry under the “Arctic” section on the left of that page.

  • Daniel "The Yooper" Bailey

    Thanks for the post, Lou. As a resident of Marquette, Michigan, I am fortunate enough to drive by beautiful Lake
    Superior every day. I can personally attest, here on a micro-level, our local climate has changed significantly since I was a boy over 40 years ago, to what we have today.

    This most recent winter we experienced a near-record low snowfall (less than 100″ fell, compared to a seasonal average of 157″ normally; just 8 years ago we had an all-time high of 330″; go figure), with the bulk of the snow coming in basically 4 1-week increments. 1 in Dec, 1 in Jan, 1 in Feb and 1 in Apr (March had zero snow – a record). Except for those snowfall events, which occurred during periods of average temps, winter ran between 6-15 degrees above normal throughout.

    In mid-April, summer conditions set in. 70-80 degrees daily highs. May was hotter, with 80-90 degree highs; extreme drought prevailed from mid April to the first week of June. Normal precipitation & temps have resumed since (highs 65-78 daily), but the heat that came early & stayed has done a number on the local water temps.

    As a result, swimmer’s itch has been predominant in all inland lakes this year (even spring-fed, where it has never been reported before), as water temps have soared there. Unsurprisingly, the beautiful sandy shores of Lake Superior around Marquette have been heavily used.

    Take it with a grain of salt. Sample size of 1 year. But our long-term trend has been eye-opening (I have degrees in Earth Science & Remote Sensing and have worked in the applied sciences and medicine for over 25 years now; I have lately gotten myself pretty up-to-date on the peer-reviewed literature in Climate Science).

    Even the old codgers who tell stories about how it used to be colder in the winters & hotter in the summers & that they “walked uphill to & from school each way” are noticing how things have been different.

    It’s been over 30 years since we had a winter cold snap deep enough to make the occasional tree explode in the forest (I myself have been witness to this); this is not missed by anyone here. But in this season of endless summer (starting our unheard-of 4th month & it’s only the 20th of July), how long before things grow worse do we have (rhetorical; no answer expected)? Not long, I fear…

    It was just interesting to hear my neck of the woods make the news in the climate change literature for once. In the Chinese curse sense of “interesting”.

    Thanks for all you do,

    Daniel “The Yooper” Bailey

  • Lou

    Daniel,

    Thanks for the field report. Over here on my end of the Lakes (Rochester/Ontario), we had pretty much the same year you describe. My wife and I have been joking about how long this summer has been already. Earlier, we were commenting on how incredibly early the trees leafed out this year. When we lived in Binghamton (NY), I clearly remember years when it was late May before there was significant foliage on the oaks and maples in the park behind our house, much later than what we saw here in recent years.