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July 30, 2007

Open thread + jump start by at 9:40 AM on July 30, 2007.

From Harnessing wave power:

Wave or tidal power doesn’t get much attention in Canada, but technologies for extracting energy from ocean motion could end up following the same growth curves we have seen for wind and, more recently, solar power.

Canada’s two coasts and Nunavut have the potential to generate more than 150 terawatt-hours of clean electricity a year using ocean or tidal power systems. This represents about a quarter of the country’s annual electricity consumption, and the power would be predictable and constant – unlike wind and solar.



We also have to remember that ocean energy is more than simply about generating renewable, emission-free electricity. It could also play a significant role in dealing with a coming global water crisis.

What’s the connection? Desalination technologies that take salt out of ocean water will increasingly be relied on to address water scarcity problems around the world. Ocean-energy power plants can play a strategic, complementary role. By definition they have access to an endless supply of salt water as well as the electricity needed to turn that water into a drinkable product.

Drought-stricken Australia is serious about taking this path, as are a number of other coastal countries concerned about their long-term supply of water, including the United States. Clearly, future demand could be immense and the economic opportunities for Canadian companies equally massive.

See the article for more of one Canadian’s view of wave and tidal power.

I’ve said here before that I think wave and tidal power will have a much quicker uptake than solar or wind power. In part that’s because we’re no so much closer to the oil crunch (and the GW crunch), but it’s also due to the increasing challenges of delivering fresh water. Of course, these things interact–global warming is making the water situation much worse in many parts of the world, and rising electricity and fossil fuel costs make desalination more expensive.


From Global warming doubles number of hurricanes, study finds:

Global warming’s effect on wind patterns and sea temperatures have nearly doubled the number of hurricanes a year in the Atlantic Ocean over the past century, says a new study by US scientists.

Excerpts from the study by Greg Holland of the National Center for Atmospheric Research and Peter Webster of Georgia Institute of Technology were released in the United States late Sunday.

I have to be honest here: For quite a while the conventional wisdom was that global warming made hurricanes more powerful, but didn’t increase the number of storms. And I never understood this. Hurricanes get their energy from warm water, so I didn’t see why warmer water wouldn’t also make it easier for storms to form in the first place, all other things being equal. Now, it seems that the people who really know what they’re talking about in this area (i.e. definitely not me) are at least mixed in their conclusions on the whole “warm water equals more storms” point.

See the presentation by the authors of the above paper here (16-page, 4.3MB PDF), or the paper itself here (39-page, 363KB PDF).

2 Responses to “Open thread + jump start”

  1. LochDhu Says:

    The link between warm water and hurricane is obvious. Warm water for hurricanes is like steroid drip bags for Barry Bonds. They make them meaner. You can watch Katrina on time lapse satalite imagry explode from a catergory 1 to a cat 5, when it was over the warm gulf water.

    The frequency of hurricanes is mostly related to El Nino vs La Nina cycles. During a El Nino high altitude trade winds blow over where Atlantic hurricanes typically form and will knock the storm over before it gets a chance to form. 2006 was a El Nino year and we didn’t get any hurricanes. Weather global warming changes the frquency between El Nino vs. La Nina will be the subject of a lot of research in the next decade. Insurance companies in the south east US will be very interested in the conclusions.

  2. Hal Says:

    I don’t know much about hurricanes either and have to defer to the experts on this issue. One point though about warm water. Hurricanes are actually heat engines and need more than warmth. They run off the temperature differential between warm water and the cold atmosphere. Now, global warming tends to heat up the lower atmosphere in addition to the ocean and land, but can actually cause cooling up in the stratosphere because less heat escapes from lower levels. You have to look at hurricane dynamics in detail to see how this change in heat distribution affects storm growth.

    In addition there may be stronger winds associated with a more active atmosphere, and winds can disrupt hurricane formation by not allowing stable cyclones to grow.

    So the overall effect is more complicated than it sounds at first, which is why I think the models have not clearly predicted increased hurricanes from warming. As models get better we will hopefully get more precise answers to the question.

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